In the market for a new laptop? Don't pull out your credit card just yet; if you wait just a wee bit longer, you might find yourself catching a real bargain!
How does $500 (NIS 2000, give or take these days) sound for a fully loaded (well, probably almost) Dell laptop? Too much? Okay, how about $300 or so for a less fully loaded but Internet and word processing capable laptop that runs Windows? Still too much? Well, you could go for the $100 rival model - which will probably cost you $200 or so, since you are a resident of what is considered a non-third world country.
And then there's the $10 laptop. But you might have to learn Hindi in order to use it (I'm betting that at least some folks up there are up to the challenge, if that's what it takes to score such a bargain!).
The computing world is about to change - in terms of a massive expansion of people who will be using computers - over the next several years. There are no fewer than four major ongoing projects that promise to bring the magic of computers to all the young citizens of the world - including those living in the dire poverty of third world countries in Africa, Asia and South America.
The aim of these projects is to "empower" the vast underclasses of the third world, who are trapped in an incessant cycle of poverty because they do not have access to modern educational opportunities and technology, among other things. Although there are schools and educational programs in rural villages, as well as big cities, the vast majority of poor third world children don't take advantage of them, and drop out to go to work in order to earn money to help their families. By giving these children access to computers and the Internet, the theory behind these projects goes, poor third world children will be able to get an education outside the confines of the classroom, and they will be inspired to overcome the many hardships that prevent them from pursuing the education that could be the key to breaking the cycle of poverty.
Negroponte has traveled the world for the past several years trying to sell the idea to governments, and so far, seven have signed on. In order to get into the program, governments have to commit to buying at least a million of the machines. Of course, those who will receive the machines don't have the money to pay for them, so the money will either come out of each government's budget, or from donations in the private sector. Full scale production and delivery is expected by the end of the year.
The "private sector" could be the OLPC foundation itself. Among the plans bandied about to raise funds to pay for the program was to sell the laptops to wealthy Westerners - on condition they buy two, one for themselves and one for third world needy. That program, and the fact that it's unrealstic to expect that tens of millions of a product - any product - that was being given away would not end up on Ebay or a similar service, means that machines like the OLPC laptop could be coming to a store - or Web site merchant - near you.
Even if, as at least OLPC and Intel have declared, they hope to be able to restrict the use of the cheap laptops to those who really need them, it's hard to imagine that the technology - and actual components - won't be used in regular "retail" versions of laptops for use by Westerners. While many users would find the educational models too weak for substantial day to day work, many others, who don't need to do more than write letters, surf the Internet, download e-mail, or play games, will be attracted by their ease of use.